diff --git a/report/references.bib b/report/references.bib index f48fd264..5ccef41c 100644 --- a/report/references.bib +++ b/report/references.bib @@ -58,6 +58,20 @@ ABSTRACT = {The research paper comprehensively and consistently addresses all re DOI = {10.3390/economies11090220} } +@article{6, +title = {It’s not about the money. EU funds, local opportunities, and Euroscepticism}, +journal = {Regional Science and Urban Economics}, +volume = {84}, +pages = {103556}, +year = {2020}, +issn = {0166-0462}, +doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2020.103556}, +url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166046219304296}, +author = {Riccardo Crescenzi and Marco {Di Cataldo} and Mara Giua}, +keywords = {EU funds, Euroscepticism, Cohesion policy, Brexit, Regression discontinuity}, +abstract = {Growing Euroscepticism across the European Union (EU) leaves open questions as to what citizens expect to gain from EU Membership and what influences their dissent for EU integration. This paper looks at the EU Structural Funds, one of the largest and most visible expenditure items in the EU budget, to test their impact on electoral support for the EU. By leveraging the Referendum on Brexit held in the United Kingdom, a spatial RDD analysis offers causal evidence that EU money does not influence citizens’ support for the EU. Conversely, the analysis shows that EU funds mitigate Euroscepticism only where they are coupled with tangible improvements in local labour market conditions, the ultimate objective of this form of EU intervention. Money cannot buy love for the EU, but its capacity to generate new local opportunities certainly can.} +} + diff --git a/report/report.aux b/report/report.aux index c2ed1c9a..bd2b6c14 100644 --- a/report/report.aux +++ b/report/report.aux @@ -1,34 +1,39 @@ \relax -\citation{4} -\citation{5} +\providecommand\hyper@newdestlabel[2]{} +\providecommand\HyField@AuxAddToFields[1]{} +\providecommand\HyField@AuxAddToCoFields[2]{} \citation{1} \citation{2} \citation{3} -\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {1}WstÄ™p}{2}{}\protected@file@percent } -\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.1}Kontekst}{2}{}\protected@file@percent } -\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.2}Cel}{2}{}\protected@file@percent } -\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.3}Hipoteza}{2}{}\protected@file@percent } -\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.4}Metoda badawcza}{2}{}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {1}WstÄ™p}{1}{section.1}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {paragraph}{Kontekst}{1}{section*.2}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {paragraph}{Cel}{2}{section*.3}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {paragraph}{Hipoteza}{2}{section*.4}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {paragraph}{Metoda badawcza}{2}{section*.5}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {paragraph}{Wyniki}{2}{section*.6}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {2}Omówienie rozdziałów}{2}{section.2}\protected@file@percent } \citation{4} \citation{5} +\citation{6} +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {3}Opis literatury}{3}{section.3}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {paragraph}{Decision trees: from efficient prediction to responsible AI}{3}{section*.7}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {paragraph}{Application of Successful EU Funds Absorption Models to Sustainable Regional Development}{3}{section*.8}\protected@file@percent } +\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {paragraph}{It’s not about the money. 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Od tamtej pory bilans Polski w stosunku do Brukseli wynosi 175 miliardów euro na plus dla Polski \cite{2} W samym 2023 roku Polska otrzymaÅ‚a z UE prawie 3.5 miliarda zÅ‚otych, wpÅ‚acająć niecaÅ‚y miliard zÅ‚otych \cite{3} W naszej pracy ponawiamy analizÄ™ statystycznÄ… wykonanÄ… sprzed 7 lat, na nowych danych, od poczÄ…tku roku 2014 do koÅ„ca roku 2023 -\subsection{Cel} -Celem pracy jest sprawdzenie jakie dane na temat gminy najbardziej korelujÄ… z liczbÄ… przyznanych funduszy Unii Europejskiej danej gminy -\subsection{Hipoteza} -\ul{GÄ™stość zaludnienia jest \textbf{najważniejszym} czynnikiem wpÅ‚ywajÄ…cym na przyznanie Å›rodków unijnych} \\ -\subsection{Metoda badawcza} +\paragraph{Kontekst} +W 2024 mija 20 lat od wstÄ…pienia Polski do Unii Europejskiej \cite{1}. +Od tamtej pory bilans Polski w stosunku do Brukseli wynosi 175 miliardów euro na +plus dla Polski \cite{2} W samym 2023 roku Polska otrzymaÅ‚a z UE prawie 3.5 miliarda +zÅ‚otych, wpÅ‚acająć niecaÅ‚y miliard zÅ‚otych \cite{3} W naszej pracy ponawiamy analizÄ™ +statystycznÄ… wykonanÄ… sprzed 7 lat, na nowych danych, od poczÄ…tku roku 2014 do koÅ„ca +roku 2023 +\paragraph{Cel} +Celem pracy jest sprawdzenie jakie dane na temat gminy najbardziej korelujÄ… z liczbÄ… +przyznanych funduszy Unii Europejskiej danej gminy +\paragraph{Hipoteza} +\ul{GÄ™stość zaludnienia jest \textbf{najważniejszym} czynnikiem wpÅ‚ywajÄ…cym na +przyznanie Å›rodków unijnych} \\ +\paragraph{Metoda badawcza} \begin{enumerate} \item Zebrać dane UE \item Zebrać dane gmin @@ -37,26 +45,62 @@ Celem pracy jest sprawdzenie jakie dane na temat gminy najbardziej korelujÄ… z l \item Przeanalizować dane \item WyÅ›wietlić wyniki \end{enumerate} -\subsection{Wyniki} +\paragraph{Wyniki} \section{Omówienie rozdziałów} -Na poczÄ…tku artykuÅ‚u przedstawiamy czemu wybraliÅ›my taki temat, co chcemy osiÄ…gnąć naszÄ… pracÄ…, w jaki sposób chcemy to osiÄ…gnąć i jaki rezultat ostatecznie udaÅ‚o nam siÄ™ pokazać \\ -NastÄ™pnie opisujemy istniejÄ…cÄ… literaturÄ™ na temat Å›rodków Unijnych z którÄ… siÄ™ zapoznaliÅ›my i przedstawiamy w czym różni siÄ™ nasza praca od istniejÄ…cych \\ -Potem tÅ‚umaczymy nasz proces badawczy, w jaki sposób zbieraliÅ›my i łączyliÅ›my dane, jak je analizowaliÅ›my i jak przedstawialiÅ›my wyniki \\ +Na poczÄ…tku artykuÅ‚u przedstawiamy czemu wybraliÅ›my taki temat, co chcemy osiÄ…gnąć +naszÄ… pracÄ…, w jaki sposób chcemy to osiÄ…gnąć i jaki rezultat ostatecznie udaÅ‚o nam siÄ™ +pokazać \\ +NastÄ™pnie opisujemy istniejÄ…cÄ… literaturÄ™ na temat Å›rodków Unijnych z którÄ… siÄ™ +zapoznaliÅ›my i przedstawiamy w czym różni siÄ™ nasza praca od istniejÄ…cych \\ +Potem tÅ‚umaczymy nasz proces badawczy, w jaki sposób zbieraliÅ›my i łączyliÅ›my dane, +jak je analizowaliÅ›my i jak przedstawialiÅ›my wyniki \\ KontynujÄ…c, pokazujemy co otrzymaliÅ›my ostatecznie w wyniku naszej pracy \\ -Przedostatni rozdziaÅ‚ zajmuje siÄ™ dyskusjÄ… wyników, przedstawiamy co udaÅ‚o nam siÄ™ osiÄ…gnać i dlaczego, czego nie udaÅ‚o nam siÄ™ osiÄ…gnąć i dlaczego oraz przede wszystkim konfrontujemy wynik z naszÄ… hipotezÄ… \\ +Przedostatni rozdziaÅ‚ zajmuje siÄ™ dyskusjÄ… wyników, przedstawiamy co udaÅ‚o nam siÄ™ +osiÄ…gnać i dlaczego, czego nie udaÅ‚o nam siÄ™ osiÄ…gnąć i dlaczego oraz przede wszystkim +konfrontujemy wynik z naszÄ… hipotezÄ… \\ Na koÅ„cu podsumowujemy całą pracÄ™ i przedstawiamy spis literatury z której korzystaliÅ›my \section{Opis literatury} -\subsection{Decision trees: from efficient prediction to responsible AI \cite{4}} -ArtykuÅ‚ poÅ›wiÄ™cony jest omówieniu drzew decyzyjnych, rozpoczyna od zdefiniowania czym drzewo decyzyjne jest, jakie sÄ… jego unikalne cechy, gdzie jest stosowane, jakie ma wady i potencjalne zagrożenia oraz jak można je zminimalizować \\ -WybraliÅ›my ten artykuÅ‚ gdyż opisuje jednÄ… z głównych metod którÄ… zamierzamy stosować w naszym procesise badawczym do przeanalizowania danych -\subsection{Application of Successful EU Funds Absorption Models to Sustainable Regional Development \cite{5}} -ArtykuÅ‚ wykorzystaÅ‚ ankiety pytajÄ…c ankietowanych o to jak efektywnie wykorzystywane byÅ‚y fundusze UE w Polsce, SÅ‚owenji, WÄ™grzech i Chorwacji pod wzglÄ™de, +\paragraph{Decision trees: from efficient prediction to responsible AI} +ArtykuÅ‚ poÅ›wiÄ™cony jest omówieniu drzew decyzyjnych, rozpoczyna od zdefiniowania czym +drzewo decyzyjne jest, jakie sÄ… jego unikalne cechy, gdzie jest stosowane, jakie ma wady +i potencjalne zagrożenia oraz jak można je zminimalizować \cite{4} \\ +WybraliÅ›my ten artykuÅ‚ gdyż opisuje jednÄ… z głównych metod którÄ… zamierzamy stosować w +naszym procesise badawczym do przeanalizowania danych +\paragraph{Application of Successful EU Funds Absorption Models to Sustainable Regional Development} +ArtykuÅ‚ wykorzystaÅ‚ ankiety pytajÄ…c 244 osób o to jak +efektywnie wykorzystywane byÅ‚y fundusze UE w Polsce, SÅ‚owenii, +WÄ™grzech i Chorwacji. ArtykuÅ‚ podkreÅ›la znaczenie możliwoÅ›ci +technicznych, administracyjnych, koordynacji pomiÄ™dzy +instytucjami i dobrymi mechanizmami nadzorowania funduszy +europejskich jako kluczowe dla skutecznego wykorzystywania +funduszy unijnych. \cite{5} \\ +ArtykuÅ‚ przydaÅ‚ siÄ™ nam w ocenie jakie parametry pozytywnie wpÅ‚ywajÄ… na korzystanie z funduszy UE i jakie moglibyÅ›my Å›ledzić w naszym modelu. +W naszym artykule zamiast ankiet wykorzystujemy dostÄ™pne już dane, a wyniki staramy siÄ™ stworzyć przy użyciu modeli statystycznych. Dodatkowo zajmujemy siÄ™ przedstawieniem jakie parametry wpÅ‚ywajÄ… na przyznanie Å›rodków UE a nie na to w jaki sposób można te Å›rodki skutecznie wykorzystywać +\paragraph{It’s not about the money. EU funds, local opportunities, and Euroscepticism}) +ArtykuÅ‚ opisuje jak pieniÄ…dze z Unii Europejskiej wpÅ‚ywajÄ… na eurosceptycyzm w danym kraju na podstawie Walii w kontekÅ›cie referendum "Brexit". +Badanie wykorzystuje metodę Regression discontinuity design (RDD), wybrano WaliÄ™ z uwagi na różnicÄ™ w iloÅ›ci pieniÄ™dzy przekazanych poszczególnym rejonom. +Autorzy wykazali że sama ilość pieniÄ™dzy przekazana danemu +regionowi nie zwiÄ™ksza znacznie poparcia dla +Unii Europejskiej, natomiast duże nakÅ‚ady powiÄ…zane z +widocznÄ…, namacalnÄ… poprawÄ… na lokalnym rynku wpÅ‚ywajÄ… +pozytywnie na postrzeganie Unii Europejskiej w lokalnych +spoÅ‚ecznoÅ›ciach \cite{6} \\ +Nasz artykuÅ‚ koncentruje siÄ™ na tym co wpÅ‚ywa na przyznanie funduszy unijnych a nie na samą reakcje na ich przyznanie \section{Proces badawczy} -\subsection{Zbieranie danych} -\subsection{Analiza danych} -\subsection{Przedstawienie wyników} +Proces badawczy podzieliliÅ›my na 3 zasadnicze etapy, zebranie danych, przeanalizowanie ich i zaprezentowanie wyników + +\paragraph{Zbieranie danych} +Wszystkie dane pobieraliÅ›my ze strony GUS-u \\ +\href{https://bdl.stat.gov.pl/bdl/start}{https://bdl.stat.gov.pl/bdl/start} \\ +Dane wybieraliÅ›my z zakÅ‚adki "Popularne podgrupy", nastÄ™pnie wybieraliÅ›my wszystkie lata które nas +interesowaÅ‚y (od 2014 do 2023 roku włącznie), po przejÅ›ciu dalej wybieraliÅ›my wszystkie gminy, +finalnie otrzymujÄ…c tablicÄ™ którÄ… pobieraliÅ›my do formatu csv \\ +\paragraph{Przygotowywanie danych} +Dane musieliÅ›my przeprocesować przed ich wykorzystaniem +\paragraph{Analiza danych} +\paragraph{Przedstawienie wyników} \section{Wyniki} diff --git a/report/report.toc b/report/report.toc index 21f64a09..17098c6b 100644 --- a/report/report.toc +++ b/report/report.toc @@ -1,17 +1,19 @@ -\contentsline {section}{\numberline {1}WstÄ™p}{2}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.1}Kontekst}{2}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.2}Cel}{2}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.3}Hipoteza}{2}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.4}Metoda badawcza}{2}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {1.5}Wyniki}{3}{}% -\contentsline {section}{\numberline {2}Omówienie rozdziałów}{3}{}% -\contentsline {section}{\numberline {3}Opis literatury}{3}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.1}Decision trees: from efficient prediction to responsible AI \cite {4}}{3}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.2}Application of Successful EU Funds Absorption Models to Sustainable Regional Development \cite {5}}{3}{}% -\contentsline {section}{\numberline {4}Proces badawczy}{4}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {4.1}Zbieranie danych}{4}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {4.2}Analiza danych}{4}{}% -\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {4.3}Przedstawienie wyników}{4}{}% -\contentsline {section}{\numberline {5}Wyniki}{4}{}% -\contentsline {section}{\numberline {6}Dyskusja}{4}{}% -\contentsline {section}{\numberline {7}Konkluzja}{4}{}% +\contentsline {section}{\numberline {1}WstÄ™p}{1}{section.1}% +\contentsline {paragraph}{Kontekst}{1}{section*.2}% +\contentsline {paragraph}{Cel}{2}{section*.3}% +\contentsline {paragraph}{Hipoteza}{2}{section*.4}% +\contentsline {paragraph}{Metoda badawcza}{2}{section*.5}% +\contentsline {paragraph}{Wyniki}{2}{section*.6}% +\contentsline {section}{\numberline {2}Omówienie rozdziałów}{2}{section.2}% +\contentsline {section}{\numberline {3}Opis literatury}{3}{section.3}% +\contentsline {paragraph}{Decision trees: from efficient prediction to responsible AI}{3}{section*.7}% +\contentsline {paragraph}{Application of Successful EU Funds Absorption Models to Sustainable Regional Development}{3}{section*.8}% +\contentsline {paragraph}{It’s not about the money. 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